Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 was a poor day on the railway: of the 21,063 passenger trains whose arrival was recorded, 81% were within five minutes, and a further 871 were cancelled outright.
An ordinary weekday timetable, with the two commuter peaks that give the network most of its work and least of its slack.
3,667 trains arrived more than five minutes late and 377 more than half an hour, against 17,019 that ran to time. The average delay across every train whose arrival was recorded was 3.7 minutes.
The reason attached most often to a late train was “This service has been delayed by a late running train being in front of this one” — 335 services carried it. Darwin publishes these as complete sentences written for passengers, so they appear here unedited.
The busiest hour was 07:00, with 1,729 booked departures and an average delay of 4.5 minutes.
Buses on this date: 132,294 journeys followed to their destination, 71.3% on time.
The day in numbers
| Passenger trains recorded | 27,215 | |
|---|---|---|
| Cancelled | 871 | 3.2% |
| Arrival time recorded | 21,063 | 80.0% of those that ran |
| …arrived within 5 minutes | 17,019 | 80.8% |
| …arrived 5 to 30 minutes late | 3,667 | 17.4% |
| …arrived more than 30 minutes late | 377 | 1.8% |
| Average delay at destination | 3.7 min |
Every percentage among the bands is of the 21,063 trains whose arrival reached the archive — not of all 27,215, and the bands are exclusive. 5,281 trains ran without an arrival time being recorded, and nothing is claimed about how punctual those were. Delay is judged at the destination, a stricter test than the industry's own measure and not comparable with it.
By operator
37 operators ran passenger services on this date, from ScotRail on 3,068 runs down to Caledonian Sleeper on 6. Ordered by volume, not performance — any heading re-sorts it.
| Operator | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ScotRail SR | 3,068 | 1% | 2,136 | 76% | 75% | 4.2 min |
Northern NT | 2,885 | 13% | 2,324 | 82% | 70% | 2.9 min |
Great Western Railway GW | 2,347 | 2% | 1,624 | 78% | 76% | 5.6 min |
Southeastern SE | 2,041 | 1% | 1,813 | 86% | 85% | 2.7 min |
South Western Railway SW | 1,896 | 1% | 1,554 | 79% | 77% | 3.8 min |
Southern SN | 1,881 | 1% | 1,559 | 85% | 83% | 2.4 min |
London Overground LO | 1,598 | 3% | 1,431 | 92% | 89% | 1.3 min |
West Midlands Railway LM | 1,402 | 1% | 1,260 | 86% | 85% | 2.5 min |
Greater Anglia LE | 1,341 | 0% | 1,271 | 92% | 92% | 1.3 min |
Transport for Wales AW | 1,340 | 1% | 801 | 76% | 74% | 4.4 min |
Thameslink TL | 946 | 4% | 575 | 81% | 76% | 2.9 min |
Merseyrail ME | 812 | 0% | 612 | 98% | 98% | 0.7 min |
London Underground LT | 773 | 0% | 371 | 86% | 86% | 2.6 min |
Elizabeth line XR | 705 | 5% | 601 | 68% | 64% | 8.3 min |
East Midlands Railway EM | 640 | 1% | 495 | 76% | 75% | 4.3 min |
TransPennine Express TP | 518 | 4% | 341 | 65% | 61% | 6.5 min |
Great Northern GN | 435 | 1% | 376 | 77% | 76% | 3.4 min |
Avanti West Coast VT | 420 | 1% | 310 | 39% | 39% | 10.9 min |
c2c CC | 417 | 32% | 208 | 59% | 36% | 5.9 min |
Chiltern Railways CH | 347 | 6% | 326 | 87% | 82% | 2.4 min |
CrossCountry XC | 346 | 1% | 272 | 58% | 57% | 8.1 min |
London North Eastern Railway GR | 318 | 1% | 194 | 37% | 36% | 18.5 min |
Tyne and Wear Metro TW | 174 | 0% | 172 | 100% | 100% | 0.8 min |
Heathrow Express HX | 152 | 1% | 125 | 78% | 78% | 6.2 min |
Sheffield Supertram SJ | 98 | 0% | 74 | 97% | 97% | 1.4 min |
Gatwick Express GX | 72 | 0% | 69 | 75% | 75% | 4.3 min |
Island Line IL | 52 | 0% | 48 | 100% | 100% | 0 min |
Eurostar ES | 51 | 0% | 51 | 80% | 80% | 5.9 min |
Charter/Other ZZ | 46 | 0% | 1 | 0% | 0% | 20 min |
Grand Central GC | 20 | 0% | 20 | 30% | 30% | 19.8 min |
West Coast Railway Co WR | 17 | 0% | 4 | 75% | 75% | 3.8 min |
Hull Trains HT | 14 | 0% | 14 | 36% | 36% | 14.9 min |
Lumo Stirling LF | 10 | 10% | 9 | 44% | 40% | 7.4 min |
Lumo LD | 10 | 10% | 8 | 50% | 44% | 10.2 min |
LS LS | 9 | 0% | 1 | 0% | 0% | 45 min |
North Yorkshire Moors Railway NY | 8 | 0% | 8 | 38% | 38% | 22 min |
Caledonian Sleeper CS | 6 | 17% | 5 | 40% | 33% | 53.4 min |
“On time” is of each operator's recorded arrivals; “incl. cancelled” counts a cancellation as a failure, which is what the industry's own measure does. Across the whole day they read 81% and 78% — why both are published, what each hides, and how the sort treats a small operator.
Why trains were late
8 different reasons were given for delay on this date, each reproduced in the operator's own words.
This service has been delayed by a late running train being in front of this one
335 services
This service has been delayed by a speed restriction over defective track
247 services
This service has been delayed by congestion
222 services
This service has been delayed by a speed restriction
192 services
This service has been delayed by trespassers on the railway
147 services
This service has been delayed by a fault with the signalling system
133 services
This service has been delayed by damage to the overhead electric wires earlier today
129 services
This service has been delayed by trespassers on the railway earlier today
120 services
Why trains were cancelled
A reason reached the archive for 633 of the 871 cancellations (72.7%), across 8 distinct reasons. A run cancelled part-way along often carries no reason at all.
This service has been cancelled because of forecasted slippery rails
208 services
This service has been cancelled because of an operational incident
125 services
This service has been cancelled because of forecasted severe weather
123 services
This service has been cancelled because of a fault with the signalling system
44 services
This service has been cancelled because of severe weather
43 services
This service has been cancelled because of a shortage of train crew
35 services
This service has been cancelled because of trespassers on the railway
29 services
This service has been cancelled because of a short-notice change to the timetable
26 services
The longest delays
The worst of them arrived 8h 31m behind schedule — Stratford (London) to Heathrow Airport T4, booked away at 05:34, run by Elizabeth line. The ten longest range from 8h 31m down to 1h 41m, and they belong to 8 operators, Great Western Railway accounting for 2. What a delay on that scale usually means.
| Booked | Service | Late by |
|---|---|---|
05:34 | Stratford (London) to Heathrow Airport T4 9H20 · XR | 8h 31m |
04:28 | Edinburgh to Aberdeen 1A25 · CS | 3h 22m |
14:03 | London Kings Cross to Aberdeen 1S19 · GR | 2h 06m |
05:13 | Guildford to Gatwick Airport 1O51 · GW | 2h 04m |
21:05 | Shrewsbury to Birmingham New Street 2G32 · LM | 2h 04m |
10:21 | Crianlarich to Mallaig 1Y41 · SR | 2h 01m |
05:11 | Gatwick Airport to Basingstoke 1V34 · GW | 1h 59m |
19:27 | Aberystwyth to Birmingham International 1I75 · AW | 1h 54m |
15:52 | Brussels Midi to London St Pancras (Intl) 9I45 · ES | 1h 48m |
10:09 | Mallaig to Glasgow Queen Street 1Y44 · SR | 1h 41m |
Through the day
Booked departures by hour, with the share that arrived within five minutes. Punctuality was weakest at 04:00, when 50% of 174 arrived within five minutes.
The filled part of each bar is the share of that hour's booked departures that arrived within five minutes. The quietest was 02:00 with 15.
What ran
Formations were recorded for 26,571 trains on this date, made up of 2,836 individual units and 12,509 separate vehicles. These figures cover the services an allocation was published for, not every train that ran.
25 different classes of train appeared, which is the signature of a full weekday — the long-distance fleets, the regional diesel units and the suburban electrics all working at once.
The most-used class was the 377, allocated to 3,215 of the day's recorded trains from a pool of 216 units.
The average train was 5.6 vehicles long. The longest formation recorded was 24 vehicles.
| Class | Trains | Units used |
|---|---|---|
| Class 377 | 3,215 | 216 |
| Class 465 | 1,531 | 94 |
| Class 720 | 1,523 | 128 |
| Class 450 | 1,499 | 113 |
| Class 158 | 1,460 | 136 |
| Class 387 | 1,414 | 94 |
| Class 345 | 1,258 | 68 |
| Class 150 | 1,203 | 90 |
| Class 165 | 1,143 | 58 |
| Class 375 | 1,115 | 96 |
| Class 156 | 1,112 | 90 |
| Class 385 | 985 | 66 |
Of 27,215 runs, 26,571 had a formation published (98%) — these are allocations rather than observations.
Buses
16,749 buses from 167 operators were seen on this date, across 3,050,842 position reports.
132,294 bus journeys were followed to their destination on this date. 94,336 arrived on time, 6,558 late, and 31,400 — 24% — arrived ahead of schedule.
Early arrivals are normal rather than exceptional. Bus running times carry enough slack to survive traffic, and it is concentrated in the last leg, so a clear run simply finishes sooner than booked.
Averaged across every journey, buses arrived 0.2 minutes ahead of schedule — the early arrivals outweighing the late ones.
| Journeys followed to destination | 132,294 | |
|---|---|---|
| On time | 94,336 | 71.3% |
| Early | 31,400 | 23.7% |
| Late | 6,558 | 5.0% |
| …more than 15 minutes late | 699 | 0.5% |
| Average arrival | 0.2 min early |
By operator
| Operator | Journeys | On time | Early |
|---|---|---|---|
Transport for London TFLO | 105,342 | 73% | 24% |
Nottingham City Transport NCTR | 2,554 | 78% | 18% |
Go North East GNEL | 1,920 | 70% | 12% |
Bee Network BNML | 1,139 | 71% | 21% |
Bee Network BNSM | 919 | 77% | 18% |
Arriva Yorkshire WRAY | 839 | 51% | 38% |
First Potteries FPOT | 810 | 53% | 42% |
National Express NATX | 771 | 34% | 33% |
Preston Bus PBLT | 708 | 59% | 37% |
First Leicester FLEI | 698 | 61% | 34% |
Stagecoach Yorkshire SYRK | 575 | 65% | 27% |
trentbarton TBTN | 512 | 62% | 28% |
Of the operators with enough journeys to compare, Reading Buses ran closest to time (89%), and National Express furthest from it (34%).
Our figures, not the regulator's — why buses run early, the current league.
Recorded live from the Darwin and TRUST feeds on 27 Oct 2026 itself. How these figures are measured · Sources and licences