Sunday, 4 October 2026
The railway ran close to plan on Sunday, 4 October 2026: 91% of the 12,814 passenger trains whose arrival was recorded were within five minutes, and only 255 of 18,102 were cancelled.
11,625 of the 12,814 trains whose arrival was recorded were within five minutes, and the average delay was 0.9 minutes. Days like this rarely make the news, which is part of why they are worth recording.
A weekend timetable, so the 18,102 recorded runs are well below a weekday's — most engineering possessions land here too, which shortens some routes and removes others entirely.
Even so, 42 trains were more than half an hour late. The worst was the 14:39 Paris Nord to London St Pancras (Intl), which arrived 1h 41m behind schedule.
Where a reason was given at all, the most frequent was “This service has been delayed by a late running train being in front of this one” (400 services).
The day in numbers
| Passenger trains recorded | 18,102 | |
|---|---|---|
| Cancelled | 255 | 1.4% |
| Arrival time recorded | 12,814 | 71.8% of those that ran |
| …arrived within 5 minutes | 11,625 | 90.7% |
| …arrived 5 to 30 minutes late | 1,147 | 9.0% |
| …arrived more than 30 minutes late | 42 | 0.3% |
| Average delay at destination | 0.9 min |
Every percentage among the bands is of the 12,814 trains whose arrival reached the archive — not of all 18,102, and the bands are exclusive. 5,033 trains ran without an arrival time being recorded, and nothing is claimed about how punctual those were. Delay is judged at the destination, a stricter test than the industry's own measure and not comparable with it.
By operator
39 operators ran passenger services on this date, from South Western Railway on 1,919 runs down to North Yorkshire Moors Railway on 2. Ordered by volume, not performance — any heading re-sorts it.
| Operator | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
South Western Railway SW | 1,919 | 2% | 1,031 | 94% | 91% | 0.9 min |
ScotRail SR | 1,707 | 1% | 1,071 | 94% | 92% | 1 min |
Northern NT | 1,456 | 0% | 1,212 | 94% | 93% | 0.3 min |
London Overground LO | 1,296 | 5% | 1,081 | 96% | 91% | -0.2 min |
Great Western Railway GW | 1,260 | 0% | 891 | 89% | 88% | 1.1 min |
Southeastern SE | 1,186 | 0% | 889 | 88% | 88% | 1.3 min |
Southern SN | 1,109 | 3% | 986 | 86% | 84% | 1.5 min |
Greater Anglia LE | 1,046 | 0% | 860 | 96% | 96% | 0 min |
Transport for Wales AW | 877 | 1% | 704 | 88% | 87% | 0.8 min |
Thameslink TL | 677 | 1% | 440 | 85% | 84% | 1.7 min |
West Midlands Railway LM | 675 | 3% | 547 | 88% | 85% | 1.3 min |
London Underground LT | 655 | 0% | 254 | 94% | 94% | 1.5 min |
Elizabeth line XR | 506 | 0% | 499 | 99% | 99% | -1.3 min |
TransPennine Express TP | 484 | 0% | 258 | 90% | 90% | 0.1 min |
CrossCountry XC | 404 | 1% | 156 | 72% | 69% | 4 min |
c2c CC | 404 | 1% | 175 | 97% | 93% | 0.3 min |
Great Northern GN | 400 | 1% | 209 | 91% | 91% | 0.9 min |
East Midlands Railway EM | 387 | 2% | 274 | 82% | 80% | 1.8 min |
Merseyrail ME | 318 | 0% | 269 | 99% | 99% | 0 min |
Avanti West Coast VT | 292 | 3% | 204 | 50% | 48% | 6.9 min |
London North Eastern Railway GR | 258 | 0% | 141 | 94% | 94% | -2.1 min |
Chiltern Railways CH | 194 | 12% | 163 | 90% | 78% | 1.5 min |
Heathrow Express HX | 151 | 0% | 149 | 96% | 96% | -0.2 min |
Tyne and Wear Metro TW | 128 | 0% | 107 | 99% | 99% | 0.5 min |
Gatwick Express GX | 66 | 0% | 65 | 71% | 71% | 3 min |
Sheffield Supertram SJ | 51 | 0% | 41 | 100% | 100% | -0.6 min |
Island Line IL | 46 | 0% | 45 | 100% | 100% | -0.7 min |
Eurostar ES | 46 | 0% | 33 | 55% | 55% | 17.9 min |
Grand Central GC | 19 | 11% | 14 | 71% | 63% | 7.8 min |
Charter/Other ZZ | 17 | 0% | 4 | 100% | 100% | -2.2 min |
West Coast Railway Co WR | 16 | 0% | 4 | 75% | 75% | -10 min |
Hull Trains HT | 12 | 0% | 12 | 92% | 92% | 1.6 min |
Lumo LD | 10 | 0% | 10 | 80% | 80% | 2.2 min |
LS LS | 8 | 0% | 3 | 100% | 100% | -33.7 min |
Lumo Stirling LF | 8 | 0% | 8 | 50% | 50% | 4.9 min |
TY TY | 6 | 0% | 0 | — | — | — |
SO SO | 3 | 0% | 1 | 100% | 100% | 0 min |
Caledonian Sleeper CS | 3 | 0% | 3 | 100% | 100% | -2 min |
North Yorkshire Moors Railway NY | 2 | 0% | 1 | 100% | 100% | 0 min |
“On time” is of each operator's recorded arrivals; “incl. cancelled” counts a cancellation as a failure, which is what the industry's own measure does. Across the whole day they read 91% and 89% — why both are published, what each hides, and how the sort treats a small operator.
Why trains were late
8 different reasons were given for delay on this date, each reproduced in the operator's own words.
This service has been delayed by a late running train being in front of this one
400 services
This service has been delayed by a speed restriction
216 services
This service has been delayed by a problem currently under investigation
150 services
This service has been delayed by a speed restriction over defective track
112 services
This service has been delayed by the train departing late to maintain customer connections
96 services
This service has been delayed by congestion
87 services
This service has been delayed by a fault with the signalling system
75 services
This service has been delayed by a late running freight train
50 services
Why trains were cancelled
A reason reached the archive for 135 of the 255 cancellations (52.9%), across 8 distinct reasons. A run cancelled part-way along often carries no reason at all.
This service has been cancelled because of a late running train being in front of this one
41 services
This service has been cancelled because of a fault on a train
26 services
This service has been cancelled because of a late running freight train
20 services
This service has been cancelled because of a fault on this train
14 services
This service has been cancelled because of a shortage of train crew
9 services
This service has been cancelled because of a fault with the signalling system
9 services
This service has been cancelled because of congestion
8 services
This service has been cancelled because of a member of train crew being unavailable
8 services
The longest delays
The worst of them arrived 1h 41m behind schedule — Paris Nord to London St Pancras (Intl), booked away at 14:39, run by Eurostar. The ten longest range from 1h 41m down to 54 min, and they belong to 7 operators, Eurostar accounting for 4. What a delay on that scale usually means.
| Booked | Service | Late by |
|---|---|---|
14:39 | Paris Nord to London St Pancras (Intl) 9O37 · ES | 1h 41m |
21:09 | London Waterloo to Hounslow 2Z69 · SW | 1h 26m |
16:10 | Paris Nord to London St Pancras (Intl) 9O43 · ES | 1h 08m |
14:34 | Glasgow Central to London Euston 1M15 · VT | 1h 06m |
13:40 | Paris Nord to London St Pancras (Intl) 9O33 · ES | 1h 04m |
16:40 | Amsterdam CS to London St Pancras (Intl) 9I57 · ES | 1h 04m |
01:24 | Dartford to Gravesend 9A97 · TL | 1h 01m |
13:00 | London Kings Cross to Sunderland 1N93 · GC | 57 min |
21:42 | Birmingham Moor Street to Worcester Foregate Street 2V30 · LM | 55 min |
00:15 | London Charing Cross to Tunbridge Wells 2H32 · SE | 54 min |
Through the day
Booked departures by hour, with the share that arrived within five minutes. Punctuality was weakest at 05:00, when 29% of 101 arrived within five minutes.
The filled part of each bar is the share of that hour's booked departures that arrived within five minutes. The quietest was 03:00 with 21.
What ran
Formations were recorded for 15,654 trains on this date, made up of 2,274 individual units and 10,117 separate vehicles. These figures cover the services an allocation was published for, not every train that ran.
25 different classes of train appeared, which is the signature of a full weekday — the long-distance fleets, the regional diesel units and the suburban electrics all working at once.
The most-used class was the 377, allocated to 1,687 of the day's recorded trains from a pool of 164 units.
The average train was 5.9 vehicles long. The longest formation recorded was 18 vehicles.
| Class | Trains | Units used |
|---|---|---|
| Class 377 | 1,687 | 164 |
| Class 158 | 980 | 123 |
| Class 450 | 964 | 78 |
| Class 345 | 915 | 56 |
| Class 387 | 885 | 78 |
| Class 720 | 832 | 78 |
| Class 150 | 777 | 67 |
| Class 375 | 698 | 72 |
| Class 700 | 679 | 86 |
| Class 165 | 650 | 54 |
| Class 465 | 599 | 68 |
| Class 385 | 559 | 60 |
Of 18,102 runs, 15,654 had a formation published (86%) — these are allocations rather than observations.
Buses
11,044 buses from 117 operators were seen on this date, across 2,013,966 position reports.
97,121 bus journeys were followed to their destination on this date. 63,888 arrived on time, 7,558 late, and 25,675 — 26% — arrived ahead of schedule.
Early arrivals are normal rather than exceptional. Bus running times carry enough slack to survive traffic, and it is concentrated in the last leg, so a clear run simply finishes sooner than booked.
The average arrival was 0.1 minutes late, and 533 journeys finished more than twenty minutes down.
| Journeys followed to destination | 97,121 | |
|---|---|---|
| On time | 63,888 | 65.8% |
| Early | 25,675 | 26.4% |
| Late | 7,558 | 7.8% |
| …more than 20 minutes late | 533 | 0.5% |
| Average arrival | 0.1 min late |
By operator
| Operator | Journeys | On time | Early |
|---|---|---|---|
Transport for London TFLO | 78,348 | 66% | 27% |
Nottingham City Transport NCTR | 1,645 | 76% | 15% |
Go North East GNEL | 1,250 | 77% | 9% |
First Leeds FLDS | 1,242 | 61% | 27% |
First South Yorkshire FSYO | 1,081 | 58% | 31% |
First Bristol, Bath & the West FBRI | 1,031 | 65% | 20% |
National Express NATX | 887 | 31% | 39% |
Bee Network BNSM | 587 | 78% | 17% |
Bee Network BNML | 549 | 70% | 23% |
National Express West Midlands TNXB | 505 | 77% | 12% |
Arriva Yorkshire WRAY | 435 | 59% | 30% |
Preston Bus PBLT | 383 | 63% | 31% |
Of the operators with enough journeys to compare, Uni-Link ran closest to time (90%), and National Express furthest from it (31%).
Our figures, not the regulator's — why buses run early, the current league.
Recorded live from the Darwin and TRUST feeds on 4 Oct 2026 itself. How these figures are measured · Sources and licences