Wednesday, 7 October 2026
The railway ran close to plan on Wednesday, 7 October 2026: 87% of the 22,302 passenger trains whose arrival was recorded were within five minutes, and only 387 of 26,307 were cancelled.
19,510 of the 22,302 trains whose arrival was recorded were within five minutes, and the average delay was 1.8 minutes. Days like this rarely make the news, which is part of why they are worth recording.
An ordinary weekday timetable, with the two commuter peaks that give the network most of its work and least of its slack.
Even so, 182 trains were more than half an hour late. The worst was the 06:02 Edinburgh to Plymouth, which arrived 5h 02m behind schedule.
Where a reason was given at all, the most frequent was “This service has been delayed by a speed restriction” (710 services).
The day in numbers
| Passenger trains recorded | 26,307 | |
|---|---|---|
| Cancelled | 387 | 1.5% |
| Arrival time recorded | 22,302 | 86.0% of those that ran |
| …arrived within 5 minutes | 19,510 | 87.5% |
| …arrived 5 to 30 minutes late | 2,610 | 11.7% |
| …arrived more than 30 minutes late | 182 | 0.8% |
| Average delay at destination | 1.8 min |
Every percentage among the bands is of the 22,302 trains whose arrival reached the archive — not of all 26,307, and the bands are exclusive. 3,618 trains ran without an arrival time being recorded, and nothing is claimed about how punctual those were. Delay is judged at the destination, a stricter test than the industry's own measure and not comparable with it.
By operator
37 operators ran passenger services on this date, from ScotRail on 3,032 runs down to Caledonian Sleeper on 6. Ordered by volume, not performance — any heading re-sorts it.
| Operator | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ScotRail SR | 3,032 | 0% | 2,257 | 93% | 93% | 1 min |
Northern NT | 2,830 | 1% | 2,711 | 88% | 87% | 1.4 min |
Great Western Railway GW | 2,182 | 1% | 1,664 | 84% | 83% | 2 min |
Southeastern SE | 1,824 | 1% | 1,793 | 86% | 86% | 1.9 min |
South Western Railway SW | 1,753 | 1% | 1,570 | 92% | 90% | 0.8 min |
Southern SN | 1,730 | 2% | 1,666 | 89% | 88% | 1.4 min |
London Overground LO | 1,611 | 4% | 1,541 | 97% | 93% | -0.1 min |
Greater Anglia LE | 1,307 | 0% | 1,294 | 91% | 91% | 0.8 min |
West Midlands Railway LM | 1,301 | 1% | 1,257 | 88% | 87% | 1.5 min |
Transport for Wales AW | 1,249 | 2% | 1,043 | 89% | 87% | 0.7 min |
Thameslink TL | 976 | 2% | 624 | 82% | 79% | 2.1 min |
c2c CC | 811 | 1% | 353 | 88% | 85% | 1.9 min |
London Underground LT | 781 | 0% | 396 | 93% | 93% | 1.5 min |
Elizabeth line XR | 712 | 10% | 579 | 86% | 77% | 1.2 min |
East Midlands Railway EM | 626 | 0% | 488 | 75% | 75% | 3.4 min |
Merseyrail ME | 616 | 0% | 613 | 100% | 99% | 0.1 min |
Great Northern GN | 431 | 2% | 386 | 74% | 72% | 4.8 min |
Avanti West Coast VT | 418 | 0% | 313 | 48% | 48% | 9.7 min |
CrossCountry XC | 353 | 2% | 279 | 55% | 54% | 10.6 min |
Chiltern Railways CH | 352 | 7% | 327 | 94% | 88% | 0.6 min |
TransPennine Express TP | 336 | 2% | 313 | 78% | 76% | 4.8 min |
London North Eastern Railway GR | 324 | 2% | 190 | 37% | 36% | 17.9 min |
Tyne and Wear Metro TW | 173 | 0% | 171 | 99% | 99% | 0.3 min |
Heathrow Express HX | 152 | 1% | 139 | 93% | 92% | 1.2 min |
Sheffield Supertram SJ | 98 | 0% | 74 | 97% | 97% | 0.6 min |
Gatwick Express GX | 72 | 0% | 72 | 72% | 72% | 3.2 min |
Charter/Other ZZ | 53 | 0% | 7 | 71% | 71% | 5 min |
Island Line IL | 52 | 0% | 52 | 100% | 100% | -0.4 min |
Eurostar ES | 52 | 0% | 51 | 73% | 73% | 8.5 min |
Grand Central GC | 21 | 0% | 20 | 20% | 20% | 25.8 min |
West Coast Railway Co WR | 18 | 0% | 4 | 100% | 100% | -16.8 min |
Hull Trains HT | 15 | 0% | 15 | 67% | 67% | 5.7 min |
LS LS | 11 | 0% | 5 | 60% | 60% | 13.2 min |
Lumo LD | 11 | 0% | 11 | 36% | 36% | 28.5 min |
Lumo Stirling LF | 10 | 0% | 10 | 70% | 70% | 4.6 min |
North Yorkshire Moors Railway NY | 8 | 0% | 8 | 88% | 88% | -20.2 min |
Caledonian Sleeper CS | 6 | 0% | 6 | 67% | 67% | 45.5 min |
“On time” is of each operator's recorded arrivals; “incl. cancelled” counts a cancellation as a failure, which is what the industry's own measure does. Across the whole day they read 87% and 86% — why both are published, what each hides, and how the sort treats a small operator.
Why trains were late
8 different reasons were given for delay on this date, each reproduced in the operator's own words.
This service has been delayed by a speed restriction
710 services
This service has been delayed by a late running train being in front of this one
610 services
This service has been delayed by a speed restriction over defective track
401 services
This service has been delayed by earlier engineering works not being finished on time
305 services
This service has been delayed by congestion
254 services
This service has been delayed by a fault on a train earlier
154 services
This service has been delayed by a fault with the signalling system
142 services
This service has been delayed by a late running freight train
119 services
Why trains were cancelled
A reason reached the archive for 209 of the 387 cancellations (54.0%), across 8 distinct reasons. A run cancelled part-way along often carries no reason at all.
This service has been cancelled because of the fire alarm sounding at a station
38 services
This service has been cancelled because of congestion
36 services
This service has been cancelled because of engineering works not being finished on time
33 services
This service has been cancelled because of a late running train being in front of this one
27 services
This service has been cancelled because of a fault on a train
25 services
This service has been cancelled because of earlier engineering works not being finished on time
22 services
This service has been cancelled because of a speed restriction
14 services
This service has been cancelled because of a fault on this train
14 services
The longest delays
The worst of them arrived 5h 02m behind schedule — Edinburgh to Plymouth, booked away at 06:02, run by CrossCountry. The ten longest range from 5h 02m down to 2h 03m, and they belong to 5 operators, London North Eastern Railway accounting for 4. What a delay on that scale usually means.
| Booked | Service | Late by |
|---|---|---|
06:02 | Edinburgh to Plymouth 1V50 · XC | 5h 02m |
07:58 | Redcar Central to Manchester Airport 1P64 · TP | 3h 30m |
08:58 | Redcar Central to Manchester Airport 1P66 · TP | 3h 03m |
04:50 | Edinburgh to Fort William 1Y11 · CS | 3h 01m |
06:30 | London Kings Cross to Edinburgh 1S04 · GR | 2h 57m |
08:27 | Newcastle to London Kings Cross 1Y09 · GR | 2h 40m |
07:30 | Edinburgh to London Kings Cross 1E05 · GR | 2h 23m |
07:03 | London Kings Cross to Edinburgh 1S05 · GR | 2h 10m |
08:26 | Edinburgh to London Kings Cross 1E82 · LD | 2h 06m |
09:22 | Birmingham New Street to Stansted Airport 1L34 · XC | 2h 03m |
Through the day
Booked departures by hour, with the share that arrived within five minutes. Punctuality was weakest at 04:00, when 59% of 159 arrived within five minutes.
The filled part of each bar is the share of that hour's booked departures that arrived within five minutes. The quietest was 02:00 with 14.
What ran
Formations were recorded for 27,313 trains on this date, made up of 2,926 individual units and 12,844 separate vehicles. These figures cover the services an allocation was published for, not every train that ran.
25 different classes of train appeared, which is the signature of a full weekday — the long-distance fleets, the regional diesel units and the suburban electrics all working at once.
The most-used class was the 377, allocated to 3,329 of the day's recorded trains from a pool of 219 units.
The average train was 5.6 vehicles long. The longest formation recorded was 24 vehicles.
| Class | Trains | Units used |
|---|---|---|
| Class 377 | 3,329 | 219 |
| Class 465 | 1,630 | 101 |
| Class 720 | 1,527 | 127 |
| Class 450 | 1,515 | 120 |
| Class 158 | 1,441 | 136 |
| Class 387 | 1,430 | 95 |
| Class 150 | 1,359 | 91 |
| Class 345 | 1,240 | 68 |
| Class 165 | 1,140 | 61 |
| Class 156 | 1,104 | 90 |
| Class 375 | 1,038 | 102 |
| Class 700 | 1,033 | 105 |
Of 26,307 runs, 27,313 had a formation published (104%) — these are allocations rather than observations.
Buses
17,379 buses from 188 operators were seen on this date, across 3,212,766 position reports.
141,564 bus journeys were followed to their destination on this date. 101,862 arrived on time, 7,956 late, and 31,746 — 22% — arrived ahead of schedule.
Early arrivals are normal rather than exceptional. Bus running times carry enough slack to survive traffic, and it is concentrated in the last leg, so a clear run simply finishes sooner than booked.
The average arrival was 0 minutes late, and 825 journeys finished more than twenty minutes down.
| Journeys followed to destination | 141,564 | |
|---|---|---|
| On time | 101,862 | 72.0% |
| Early | 31,746 | 22.4% |
| Late | 7,956 | 5.6% |
| …more than 20 minutes late | 825 | 0.6% |
| Average arrival | 0 min late |
By operator
| Operator | Journeys | On time | Early |
|---|---|---|---|
Transport for London TFLO | 109,094 | 74% | 23% |
Nottingham City Transport NCTR | 2,382 | 77% | 15% |
Go North East GNEL | 2,077 | 74% | 10% |
First South Yorkshire FSYO | 2,036 | 59% | 24% |
First Leeds FLDS | 1,683 | 61% | 25% |
Bee Network BNSM | 946 | 78% | 16% |
First Potteries FPOT | 872 | 58% | 31% |
National Express West Midlands TNXB | 851 | 75% | 18% |
Arriva Yorkshire WRAY | 851 | 59% | 24% |
First Leicester FLEI | 774 | 58% | 38% |
National Express NATX | 772 | 31% | 34% |
Preston Bus PBLT | 736 | 65% | 30% |
Of the operators with enough journeys to compare, Uni-Link ran closest to time (94%), and National Express furthest from it (31%).
Our figures, not the regulator's — why buses run early, the current league.
Recorded live from the Darwin and TRUST feeds on 7 Oct 2026 itself. How these figures are measured · Sources and licences