Monday, 12 October 2026
The railway ran close to plan on Monday, 12 October 2026: 88% of the 22,202 passenger trains whose arrival was recorded were within five minutes, and only 321 of 26,031 were cancelled.
19,434 of the 22,202 trains whose arrival was recorded were within five minutes, and the average delay was 1.7 minutes. Days like this rarely make the news, which is part of why they are worth recording.
An ordinary weekday timetable, with the two commuter peaks that give the network most of its work and least of its slack.
Even so, 150 trains were more than half an hour late. The worst was the 17:58 Cardiff Central to Penzance, which arrived 3h 01m behind schedule.
Where a reason was given at all, the most frequent was “This service has been delayed by a speed restriction” (583 services).
The day in numbers
| Passenger trains recorded | 26,031 | |
|---|---|---|
| Cancelled | 321 | 1.2% |
| Arrival time recorded | 22,202 | 86.4% of those that ran |
| …arrived within 5 minutes | 19,434 | 87.5% |
| …arrived 5 to 30 minutes late | 2,618 | 11.8% |
| …arrived more than 30 minutes late | 150 | 0.7% |
| Average delay at destination | 1.7 min |
Every percentage among the bands is of the 22,202 trains whose arrival reached the archive — not of all 26,031, and the bands are exclusive. 3,508 trains ran without an arrival time being recorded, and nothing is claimed about how punctual those were. Delay is judged at the destination, a stricter test than the industry's own measure and not comparable with it.
By operator
37 operators ran passenger services on this date, from ScotRail on 3,023 runs down to Caledonian Sleeper on 6. Ordered by volume, not performance — any heading re-sorts it.
| Operator | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ScotRail SR | 3,023 | 0% | 2,190 | 92% | 91% | 1.2 min |
Northern NT | 2,831 | 1% | 2,686 | 87% | 86% | 1.6 min |
Great Western Railway GW | 2,169 | 1% | 1,605 | 84% | 83% | 2.4 min |
Southeastern SE | 1,801 | 0% | 1,778 | 88% | 88% | 1.6 min |
South Western Railway SW | 1,776 | 3% | 1,525 | 80% | 78% | 2.5 min |
Southern SN | 1,695 | 2% | 1,646 | 87% | 86% | 1.8 min |
London Overground LO | 1,602 | 1% | 1,566 | 98% | 97% | -0.4 min |
West Midlands Railway LM | 1,333 | 2% | 1,287 | 87% | 85% | 1.7 min |
Greater Anglia LE | 1,311 | 1% | 1,289 | 92% | 91% | 1.1 min |
Transport for Wales AW | 1,236 | 2% | 1,030 | 91% | 89% | 0.3 min |
Thameslink TL | 986 | 3% | 622 | 84% | 80% | 2.2 min |
Merseyrail ME | 806 | 0% | 611 | 99% | 99% | 0.1 min |
London Underground LT | 777 | 0% | 404 | 99% | 99% | 0.8 min |
Elizabeth line XR | 701 | 3% | 670 | 91% | 88% | 0.4 min |
East Midlands Railway EM | 623 | 2% | 490 | 79% | 77% | 3.1 min |
Great Northern GN | 444 | 1% | 388 | 85% | 84% | 2.5 min |
Avanti West Coast VT | 424 | 1% | 309 | 40% | 40% | 12.3 min |
c2c CC | 415 | 2% | 355 | 94% | 91% | 1.5 min |
Chiltern Railways CH | 347 | 5% | 329 | 96% | 91% | 0.3 min |
CrossCountry XC | 345 | 0% | 277 | 57% | 57% | 6.9 min |
TransPennine Express TP | 326 | 1% | 307 | 82% | 81% | 2.6 min |
London North Eastern Railway GR | 325 | 0% | 198 | 74% | 74% | 2 min |
Tyne and Wear Metro TW | 174 | 0% | 174 | 99% | 99% | 0.3 min |
Heathrow Express HX | 152 | 0% | 148 | 89% | 89% | 1.7 min |
Sheffield Supertram SJ | 97 | 0% | 73 | 100% | 100% | 0.1 min |
Gatwick Express GX | 72 | 1% | 71 | 63% | 63% | 6.7 min |
Island Line IL | 52 | 6% | 45 | 91% | 85% | 5.4 min |
Eurostar ES | 50 | 0% | 50 | 76% | 76% | 7.5 min |
Charter/Other ZZ | 49 | 0% | 7 | 86% | 86% | 2.3 min |
Grand Central GC | 21 | 5% | 19 | 53% | 50% | 5.4 min |
Hull Trains HT | 14 | 0% | 14 | 79% | 79% | 4.2 min |
Lumo LD | 12 | 0% | 12 | 83% | 83% | 1.2 min |
West Coast Railway Co WR | 10 | 0% | 5 | 100% | 100% | -2.2 min |
Lumo Stirling LF | 10 | 0% | 9 | 56% | 56% | 8.4 min |
North Yorkshire Moors Railway NY | 8 | 0% | 8 | 63% | 63% | -3.1 min |
LS LS | 8 | 0% | 0 | — | — | — |
Caledonian Sleeper CS | 6 | 17% | 5 | 60% | 50% | 0 min |
“On time” is of each operator's recorded arrivals; “incl. cancelled” counts a cancellation as a failure, which is what the industry's own measure does. Across the whole day they read 88% and 86% — why both are published, what each hides, and how the sort treats a small operator.
Why trains were late
8 different reasons were given for delay on this date, each reproduced in the operator's own words.
This service has been delayed by a speed restriction
583 services
This service has been delayed by a late running train being in front of this one
555 services
This service has been delayed by trespassers on the railway earlier today
435 services
This service has been delayed by a fault with the signalling system
292 services
This service has been delayed by congestion
270 services
This service has been delayed by a speed restriction over defective track
224 services
This service has been delayed by animals on the railway
180 services
This service has been delayed by trespassers on the railway
178 services
Why trains were cancelled
A reason reached the archive for 167 of the 321 cancellations (52.0%), across 8 distinct reasons. A run cancelled part-way along often carries no reason at all.
This service has been cancelled because of a fault with the signalling system
36 services
This service has been cancelled because of trespassers on the railway earlier today
27 services
This service has been cancelled because of trespassers on the railway
23 services
This service has been cancelled because of a late running train being in front of this one
20 services
This service has been cancelled because of a fault on this train
20 services
This service has been cancelled because of congestion
19 services
This service has been cancelled because of the emergency services dealing with an incident
11 services
This service has been cancelled because of a fault on a train
11 services
The longest delays
The worst of them arrived 3h 01m behind schedule — Cardiff Central to Penzance, booked away at 17:58, run by Great Western Railway. The ten longest range from 3h 01m down to 1h 20m, and they belong to 8 operators, South Western Railway accounting for 2. What a delay on that scale usually means.
| Booked | Service | Late by |
|---|---|---|
17:58 | Cardiff Central to Penzance 2C87 · GW | 3h 01m |
08:43 | Alton to London Waterloo 1A24 · SW | 2h 09m |
09:13 | Alton to London Waterloo 1A26 · SW | 2h 00m |
21:52 | Ore to Brighton 1U67 · SN | 1h 25m |
18:07 | Shanklin to Ryde Pier Head 2U40 · IL | 1h 22m |
08:38 | Glasgow Central to London Euston 1M09 · VT | 1h 21m |
17:26 | Ryde Pier Head to Shanklin 2D37 · IL | 1h 20m |
17:22 | Birmingham New Street to Stansted Airport 1L50 · XC | 1h 20m |
22:15 | London Paddington to Shenfield 9W76 · XR | 1h 20m |
21:59 | Southend Victoria to London Liverpool Street 2K49 · LE | 1h 20m |
Through the day
Booked departures by hour, with the share that arrived within five minutes. Punctuality was weakest at 04:00, when 64% of 156 arrived within five minutes.
The filled part of each bar is the share of that hour's booked departures that arrived within five minutes. The quietest was 02:00 with 15.
What ran
Formations were recorded for 26,747 trains on this date, made up of 2,900 individual units and 12,753 separate vehicles. These figures cover the services an allocation was published for, not every train that ran.
25 different classes of train appeared, which is the signature of a full weekday — the long-distance fleets, the regional diesel units and the suburban electrics all working at once.
The most-used class was the 377, allocated to 3,287 of the day's recorded trains from a pool of 223 units.
The average train was 5.6 vehicles long. The longest formation recorded was 24 vehicles.
| Class | Trains | Units used |
|---|---|---|
| Class 377 | 3,287 | 223 |
| Class 465 | 1,582 | 96 |
| Class 720 | 1,517 | 133 |
| Class 450 | 1,474 | 116 |
| Class 150 | 1,426 | 88 |
| Class 387 | 1,363 | 96 |
| Class 158 | 1,337 | 135 |
| Class 345 | 1,235 | 67 |
| Class 165 | 1,127 | 61 |
| Class 156 | 1,114 | 91 |
| Class 375 | 1,030 | 103 |
| Class 700 | 998 | 104 |
Of 26,031 runs, 26,747 had a formation published (103%) — these are allocations rather than observations.
Buses
17,374 buses from 190 operators were seen on this date, across 3,189,165 position reports.
138,660 bus journeys were followed to their destination on this date. 97,331 arrived on time, 6,748 late, and 34,581 — 25% — arrived ahead of schedule.
Early arrivals are normal rather than exceptional. Bus running times carry enough slack to survive traffic, and it is concentrated in the last leg, so a clear run simply finishes sooner than booked.
Averaged across every journey, buses arrived 0.2 minutes ahead of schedule — the early arrivals outweighing the late ones.
| Journeys followed to destination | 138,660 | |
|---|---|---|
| On time | 97,331 | 70.2% |
| Early | 34,581 | 24.9% |
| Late | 6,748 | 4.9% |
| …more than 20 minutes late | 716 | 0.5% |
| Average arrival | 0.2 min early |
By operator
| Operator | Journeys | On time | Early |
|---|---|---|---|
Transport for London TFLO | 104,963 | 72% | 25% |
Nottingham City Transport NCTR | 2,554 | 78% | 17% |
Go North East GNEL | 2,150 | 78% | 9% |
First South Yorkshire FSYO | 2,036 | 61% | 27% |
First Leeds FLDS | 1,702 | 58% | 32% |
First Bristol, Bath & the West FBRI | 1,454 | 62% | 26% |
Bee Network BNSM | 944 | 79% | 17% |
First Potteries FPOT | 864 | 54% | 34% |
Arriva Yorkshire WRAY | 855 | 57% | 33% |
National Express West Midlands TNXB | 845 | 82% | 13% |
National Express NATX | 811 | 36% | 33% |
First Leicester FLEI | 763 | 56% | 40% |
Of the operators with enough journeys to compare, Uni-Link ran closest to time (92%), and Stagecoach South Wales furthest from it (32%).
Our figures, not the regulator's — why buses run early, the current league.
Recorded live from the Darwin and TRUST feeds on 12 Oct 2026 itself. How these figures are measured · Sources and licences